MALIYE DERGISI, sa.167, ss.116-125, 2014 (ESCI)
We aim to examine the effects of various macroeconomic, technological and institutional variables on the probability of high growth performance for middle-income countries exceeding their average gdp per capita growth rate, in other words the probability of transition to a higher income group. Our analyses cover 56 middle-income countries including Turkey for the period of 1990-2013. The results of the study suggest the importance of improvements in human capital, technology, institutional quality and sound macroeconomic indicators to avoid the middle income trap.