The Causal Relationship Between Stock Markets and Policy Uncertainty in OECD Countries


5th RSEP International Conferences on Social Issues and Economic Studies, Barcelona, Spain, 7 - 10 November 2017, pp.20-29 identifier

  • Publication Type: Conference Paper / Full Text
  • Volume:
  • Doi Number: 10.19275/rsepconferences105
  • City: Barcelona
  • Country: Spain
  • Page Numbers: pp.20-29
  • Hacettepe University Affiliated: No


In this study, we examine the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock market prices in OECD countries. We provide strong evidence that stock markets mostly Granger cause EPU. Such causality may also exist in the opposite direction for a few cases and we find no causality in some countries as well. Our results do not provide any support for bidirectional causality.