Economic policy uncertainty, energy consumption and carbon emissions in G7 countries: evidence from a panel Granger causality analysis

Pirgaip B., DİNÇERGÖK B.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH, cilt.27, sa.24, ss.30050-30066, 2020 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 27 Sayı: 24
  • Basım Tarihi: 2020
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1007/s11356-020-08642-2
  • Dergi Adı: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, IBZ Online, ABI/INFORM, Aerospace Database, Agricultural & Environmental Science Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), BIOSIS, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, Environment Index, Geobase, MEDLINE, Pollution Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.30050-30066
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Economic policy uncertainty, Energy consumption, Carbon emissions, Panel Granger causality, G7 countries, ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE, OIL PRICE SHOCKS, CO2 EMISSIONS, ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION, FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT, GROWTH RELATIONSHIP, DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, NUCLEAR-ENERGY, REAL OUTPUT, COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS
  • Hacettepe Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

We investigate the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and energy consumption and carbon (CO2) emissions in G7 countries. We employ a bootstrap panel Granger causality test developed by Konya (Econ Model 23:978-992, 2006), using a yearly data set spanning from 1998 to 2018. Our test results provide significant support for a unidirectional causality running from EPU to energy consumption in Japan; from EPU to CO2 emissions in the USA and Germany; and from EPU to both energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Canada. In Italy, causality runs from CO2 emissions to EPU, but a bidirectional causality between EPU and energy consumption exists as well. We also explore a unidirectional causality that runs from energy consumption to CO2 in the USA. Based on the overall findings, we draw important implications for policymakers and we strongly recommend for G7 countries to take into account possible negative effects of EPU on energy conservation policies, which should be embarked upon to reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions, as committed in their recent climate mandate.