Regime Dependent Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Real Growth: A Markov Switching Approach


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Caglayan M., KANDEMİR KOCAASLAN Ö., Mouratidis K.

SCOTTISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, cilt.63, sa.2, ss.135-155, 2016 (SSCI, Scopus)

Özet

We empirically investigate the effects of inflation uncertainty on output growth for the United States between 1960 and 2012. Modeling output dynamics within a Markov regime switching framework, we provide evidence that inflation uncertainty exerts a negative and regime-dependent impact on output growth. A battery of sensitivity checks confirm our findings.