A two-stage approach for Bayesian parametric joint modelling of longitudinal and Weibull accelerated failure time data


Yildirim E., KARASOY D.

FILOMAT, no.23, pp.8265-8281, 2024 (SCI-Expanded) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Publication Date: 2024
  • Doi Number: 10.2298/fil2423265y
  • Journal Name: FILOMAT
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
  • Page Numbers: pp.8265-8281
  • Hacettepe University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Since longitudinal and survival data are often obtained together in applications, studies on joint modelling that reveal the relationship between these two data have increased considerably in recent years. These models are generally defined by a linear mixed-effects model for longitudinal data and Cox regression model for survival data, which are connected by a shared random effect. However, in order to use the Cox regression model in the analysis of survival data, the proportional hazards assumption must be satisfied. In cases where the proportional hazards assumption is not satisfied and survival data have a certain distribution, parametric joint models should be used to obtain more unbiased parameter estimates in the analysis of the relationship between two data. In this paper, we propose a two-stage approach in a Bayesian framework to obtain parameter estimates in parametric joint modelling. To examine the performance of the proposed method, we perform a simulation study in scenarios with different censoring and sample sizes and compare the method with classical approaches. In addition, to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method, we perform an application on the aortic valve replacement surgery data, which is frequently used in the literature, and test the methods on real data. Simulation studies from different scenarios show that in all cases our approach, which consists of a longitudinal measurement and of survival data that does not require the assumption of proportional hazards, gives more unbiased estimates compared to the other two classical approaches. As a result of the application of the real data set to demonstrate the applicability of the simulation findings, we obtained results similar to the simulation results according to the AIC and BIC.